Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Thu, Oct 29 · 6:30pm CT · DATCU Stadium · Denton, TX6:30pm CT
FAU
Florida Atlantic Owls · American · 2-1 · Away
FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row
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UNT
North Texas Mean Green · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
UNT —
FAU —
FAU —
Model
UNT -10.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNT
UNT — · FAU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UNT rating -2.3, FAU rating -10.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UNT.
- Predicted margin is UNT by 10.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 10.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UNT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FAU
- Wvs FIU 16-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs NAVY 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ FLA 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ECU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs CONN 48-45 · Sat, Nov 22
UNT
- L@ TXST 49-35 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs UNLV 44-6 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ IU 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs SDSU 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
- L@ TULN 34-21 · Fri, Dec 5
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 10.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.