Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Thu, Nov 5 · 7:00pm CT · Flagler Credit Union Stadium · Boca Raton, FL7:00pm CT
UTSA
UTSA Roadrunners · American · 2-1 · Away
FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row
FAU
Florida Atlantic Owls · American · 2-1 · Home
FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
FAU
UTSA
Model
UTSA -6.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UTSA
FAU · UTSA
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • FAU rating -10.4, UTSA rating -1.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to FAU.
  • Predicted margin is UTSA by 6.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 6.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UTSA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UTSA

FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TEX 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ TXST 31-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs RGV 45-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs FIU 57-20 · Fri, Dec 26
  5. Lvs ARMY 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29

FAU

FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs FIU 16-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs NAVY 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ FLA 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ECU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs CONN 48-45 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 6.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.