Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 6 · 6:30pm CT · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC · ESPN26:30pm CT
USF
South Florida Bulls · American · 3-0 · Away
FPI 0.8 · rank 63 · No CFBD row
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ECU
East Carolina Pirates · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
ECU —
USF —
USF —
Model
USF -2.9
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USF
ECU — · USF —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ECU rating -4.6, USF rating 0.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ECU.
- Predicted margin is USF by 2.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 2.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is USF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USF
- Wvs DSU 59-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ ARMY 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FIU 19-9 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ODU 24-10 · Wed, Dec 17
- Wvs RICE 52-3 · Sat, Nov 29
ECU
- W@ ODU 20-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs APP 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ ALA 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs PITT 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ FAU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 2.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.4; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.