Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Protective Stadium · Birmingham, AL11:00pm CT
CLT
Charlotte 49ers · American · 0-3 · Away
FPI -15 · rank 126 · No CFBD row
UAB
UAB Blazers · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -14.9 · rank 125 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UAB
CLT
Model
UAB -2.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UAB
UAB · CLT
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UAB rating -14.9, CLT rating -15.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UAB.
  • Predicted margin is UAB by 2.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 2.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UAB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CLT

FPI -15 · rank 126 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ APP 26-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MISS 41-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs CIT 43-41 3OT · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ TULN 27-0 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ UGA 35-3 · Sat, Nov 22

UAB

FPI -14.9 · rank 125 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UL 21-14 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ULM 26-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ ILL 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. W@ TLSA 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs USF 48-18 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 2.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.