Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · DATCU Stadium · Denton, TX11:00pm CT
RICE
Rice Owls · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row
UNT
North Texas Mean Green · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UNT
RICE
Model
UNT -13.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNT
UNT · RICE
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UNT rating -2.3, RICE rating -13.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UNT.
  • Predicted margin is UNT by 13.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 13.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UNT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

RICE

FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs WMU 28-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ ND 52-0 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs HCU 31-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs TXST 41-10 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. L@ USF 52-3 · Sat, Nov 29

UNT

FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TXST 49-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs UNLV 44-6 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ IU 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs SDSU 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ TULN 34-21 · Fri, Dec 5

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 13.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.