Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 7 · 6:30pm CT · Michie Stadium · West Point, NY · CBS6:30pm CT
AFA
Air Force Falcons · Mountain West · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.9 · rank 94 · No CFBD row
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ARMY
Army Black Knights · American · 1-1 · Home
FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
ARMY —
AFA —
AFA —
Model
ARMY -5.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ARMY
ARMY — · AFA —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ARMY rating -2.7, AFA rating -5.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ARMY.
- Predicted margin is ARMY by 5.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ARMY, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
AFA
- Lvs NDSU 38-32 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs DUQ 34-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ CSU 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs UNM 20-3 · Sat, Nov 22
- L@ CONN 26-16 · Sat, Nov 15
ARMY
- Lvs USF 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BRY 59-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs CONN 41-16 · Sat, Dec 27
- Lvs NAVY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
- W@ UTSA 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.