Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Thu, Nov 12 · 7:00pm CT · Raymond James Stadium · Tampa, FL7:00pm CT
MEM
Memphis Tigers · American · 3-1 · Away
FPI -0.8 · rank 71 · No CFBD row
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USF
South Florida Bulls · American · 3-0 · Home
FPI 0.8 · rank 63 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
USF —
MEM —
MEM —
Model
USF -4.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USF
USF — · MEM —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USF rating 0.8, MEM rating -0.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USF.
- Predicted margin is USF by 4.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 4.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is USF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MEM
- Wvs UTM 45-21 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ BOIS 38-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ARST 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ UNLV 27-21 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs NCSU 31-7 · Fri, Dec 19
USF
- Wvs DSU 59-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ ARMY 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FIU 19-9 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ODU 24-10 · Wed, Dec 17
- Wvs RICE 52-3 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 4.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.