Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Jerry Richardson Stadium · Charlotte, NC11:00pm CT
ECU
East Carolina Pirates · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row
CLT
Charlotte 49ers · American · 0-3 · Home
FPI -15 · rank 126 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CLT
ECU
Model
ECU -7.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ECU
CLT · ECU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CLT rating -15, ECU rating -4.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CLT.
  • Predicted margin is ECU by 7.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 7.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ECU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ECU

FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ ODU 20-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs APP 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ ALA 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs PITT 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ FAU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29

CLT

FPI -15 · rank 126 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ APP 26-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MISS 41-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs CIT 43-41 3OT · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ TULN 27-0 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ UGA 35-3 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 7.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.