Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · H. A. Chapman Stadium · Tulsa, OK11:00pm CT
FAU
Florida Atlantic Owls · American · 2-1 · Away
FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row
TLSA
Tulsa Golden Hurricane · American · 3-0 · Home
FPI -1 · rank 72 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
TLSA
FAU
Model
TLSA -11.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TLSA
TLSA · FAU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TLSA rating -1, FAU rating -10.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TLSA.
  • Predicted margin is TLSA by 11.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 11.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TLSA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

FAU

FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs FIU 16-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs NAVY 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ FLA 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ECU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs CONN 48-45 · Sat, Nov 22

TLSA

FPI -1 · rank 72 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs ETAM 42-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ SHSU 23-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs OKST 24-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs UAB 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. W@ ARMY 26-25 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 11.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.