Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Alamodome · San Antonio, TX · Indoor11:00pm CT
UNT
North Texas Mean Green · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row
UTSA
UTSA Roadrunners · American · 2-1 · Home
FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UTSA
UNT
Model
UTSA -3.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UTSA
UTSA · UNT
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UTSA rating -1.7, UNT rating -2.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UTSA.
  • Predicted margin is UTSA by 3.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 3.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UTSA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UNT

FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TXST 49-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs UNLV 44-6 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ IU 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs SDSU 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ TULN 34-21 · Fri, Dec 5

UTSA

FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TEX 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ TXST 31-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs RGV 45-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs FIU 57-20 · Fri, Dec 26
  5. Lvs ARMY 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 3.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.