Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 21 · 11:00am CT · Michie Stadium · West Point, NY · CBSSN11:00am CT
ECU
East Carolina Pirates · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row
ARMY
Army Black Knights · American · 1-1 · Home
FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
ARMY
ECU
Model
ARMY -4.4
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ARMY
ARMY · ECU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ARMY rating -2.7, ECU rating -4.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ARMY.
  • Predicted margin is ARMY by 4.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 4.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ARMY, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ECU

FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ ODU 20-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs APP 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ ALA 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs PITT 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ FAU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29

ARMY

FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs USF 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Wvs BRY 59-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CONN 41-16 · Sat, Dec 27
  4. Lvs NAVY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. W@ UTSA 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 4.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.9; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.