Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Flagler Credit Union Stadium · Boca Raton, FL11:00pm CT
USF
South Florida Bulls · American · 3-0 · Away
FPI 0.8 · rank 63 · No CFBD row
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FAU
Florida Atlantic Owls · American · 2-1 · Home
FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
FAU —
USF —
USF —
Model
USF -8.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USF
FAU — · USF —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- FAU rating -10.4, USF rating 0.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to FAU.
- Predicted margin is USF by 8.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 8.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is USF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USF
- Wvs DSU 59-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ ARMY 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FIU 19-9 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ODU 24-10 · Wed, Dec 17
- Wvs RICE 52-3 · Sat, Nov 29
FAU
- Wvs FIU 16-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs NAVY 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ FLA 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ECU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs CONN 48-45 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 8.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.