Sat, Nov 21 · 11:00am CT · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Annapolis, MD11:00am CT
MEM
Memphis Tigers · American · 3-1 · Away
FPI -0.8 · rank 71 · No CFBD row
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NAVY
Navy Midshipmen · American · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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NAVY — MEM —
Model
MEM -2
Edge — Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MEM
NAVY — · MEM — Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
NAVY rating -5.3, MEM rating -0.8.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to NAVY.
Predicted margin is MEM by 2.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model away 2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.5; home field +2.5).
Moneyline ticket is MEM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MEM
FPI -0.8 · rank 71 · No CFBD row
Wvs UTM 45-21 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ BOIS 38-20 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs ARST 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
W@ UNLV 27-21 · Sat, Aug 29
Lvs NCSU 31-7 · Fri, Dec 19
NAVY
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row
L@ FAU 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs TOW 42-15 · Sat, Sep 5
Wvs CIN 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
Wvs ARMY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
W@ MEM 28-17 · Thu, Nov 27
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.