Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 21 · 11:00am CT · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Annapolis, MD11:00am CT
MEM
Memphis Tigers · American · 3-1 · Away
FPI -0.8 · rank 71 · No CFBD row
NAVY
Navy Midshipmen · American · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
NAVY
MEM
Model
MEM -2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MEM
NAVY · MEM
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • NAVY rating -5.3, MEM rating -0.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to NAVY.
  • Predicted margin is MEM by 2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MEM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MEM

FPI -0.8 · rank 71 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UTM 45-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ BOIS 38-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ARST 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ UNLV 27-21 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Lvs NCSU 31-7 · Fri, Dec 19

NAVY

FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ FAU 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Wvs TOW 42-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CIN 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
  4. Wvs ARMY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. W@ MEM 28-17 · Thu, Nov 27

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.