Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Yulman Stadium · New Orleans, LA11:00pm CT
UNT
North Texas Mean Green · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row
TULN
Tulane Green Wave · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -0.2 · rank 68 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
TULN
UNT
Model
TULN -4.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TULN
TULN · UNT
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TULN rating -0.2, UNT rating -2.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TULN.
  • Predicted margin is TULN by 4.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 4.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TULN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UNT

FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TXST 49-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs UNLV 44-6 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ IU 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs SDSU 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ TULN 34-21 · Fri, Dec 5

TULN

FPI -0.2 · rank 68 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ KSU 31-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs USA 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ DUKE 17-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ MISS 41-10 · Sat, Dec 20
  5. Wvs UNT 34-21 · Fri, Dec 5

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 4.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.