Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Thu, Nov 26 · 11:00pm CT · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC11:00pm CT
FAU
Florida Atlantic Owls · American · 2-1 · Away
FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row
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ECU
East Carolina Pirates · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
ECU —
FAU —
FAU —
Model
ECU -8.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ECU
ECU — · FAU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ECU rating -4.6, FAU rating -10.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ECU.
- Predicted margin is ECU by 8.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ECU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FAU
- Wvs FIU 16-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs NAVY 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ FLA 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ECU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs CONN 48-45 · Sat, Nov 22
ECU
- W@ ODU 20-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs APP 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ ALA 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs PITT 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ FAU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.