Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Rice Stadium · Houston, TX11:00pm CT
ARMY
Army Black Knights · American · 1-1 · Away
FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row
RICE
Rice Owls · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
RICE
ARMY
Model
ARMY -8.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ARMY
RICE · ARMY
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • RICE rating -13.5, ARMY rating -2.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to RICE.
  • Predicted margin is ARMY by 8.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ARMY, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ARMY

FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs USF 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Wvs BRY 59-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CONN 41-16 · Sat, Dec 27
  4. Lvs NAVY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. W@ UTSA 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29

RICE

FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs WMU 28-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ ND 52-0 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs HCU 31-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs TXST 41-10 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. L@ USF 52-3 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.