Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Dec 12 · 2:00pm CT · MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ · CBS · Neutral2:00pm CT
NAVY
Navy Midshipmen · American · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row
-2.5 (-110)
-142
ARMY
Army Black Knights · American · 1-1
FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row
+2.5 (-110)
+120

Market vs model

Spread
NAVY -2.5
ARMY +2.5 (-110)
NAVY -2.5 (-110)
Model
ARMY -2.7
Edge 5.2 pts ARMY
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ARMY
ARMY +120 · NAVY -142
Total 37.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ARMY rating -2.7, NAVY rating -5.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Neutral site, so home field is 0.
  • Predicted margin is ARMY by 2.7.
  • Edge is 5.2 points toward ARMY.
  • Edge 5.2 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 2.7; neutral site (no home field)).
  • Moneyline ticket is ARMY, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

NAVY

FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ FAU 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Wvs TOW 42-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CIN 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
  4. Wvs ARMY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. W@ MEM 28-17 · Thu, Nov 27

ARMY

FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs USF 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Wvs BRY 59-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CONN 41-16 · Sat, Dec 27
  4. Lvs NAVY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. W@ UTSA 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.