Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Thu, Sep 3 · 6:00pm CT · Delaware Stadium · Newark, DE · ESPN+Final
MRMK
Merrimack Warriors · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+31.5 (-108)
+2000
DEL
Delaware Blue Hens · C-USA · 1-0 · Home
FPI -4 · rank 82 · No CFBD row
-31.5 (-112)
-6500

Market vs model

Spread
DEL -31.5
DEL -31.5 (-112)
MRMK +31.5 (-108)
Model
DEL -10.5
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
DEL
DEL -6500 · MRMK +2000
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • DEL rating -4, MRMK rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to DEL.
  • Predicted margin is DEL by 10.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 10.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is DEL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MRMK

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

DEL

FPI -4 · rank 82 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 10.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.