Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 9:30pm CT · Mackay Stadium · Reno, NV · CBSSNFinal
WKU
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · C-USA · 0-1 · Away
FPI -14.3 · rank 124 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-102)
-112
NEV
Nevada Wolf Pack · Mountain West · 1-0 · Home
FPI -8.5 · rank 105 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-118)
-108
Market vs model
Spread
WKU -1.5
NEV +1.5 (-118)
WKU -1.5 (-102)
WKU -1.5 (-102)
Model
NEV -8.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NEV
NEV -108 · WKU -112
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NEV rating -8.5, WKU rating -14.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NEV.
- Predicted margin is NEV by 8.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 8.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NEV, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
WKU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
NEV
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 8.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.