Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Aug 29 · 2:00pm CT · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Los Angeles, CA · NBCFinal
SJSU
San José State Spartans · Mountain West · 0-1 · Away
FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row
+37.5 (-110)
+5000
#12 USC
USC Trojans · Big Ten · 1-0 · Home
FPI 15.5 · rank 18 · No CFBD row
-37.5 (-110)
-100000
Market vs model
Spread
USC -37.5
USC -37.5 (-110)
SJSU +37.5 (-110)
SJSU +37.5 (-110)
Model
USC -31.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USC
USC -100000 · SJSU +5000
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USC rating 15.5, SJSU rating -13.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USC.
- Predicted margin is USC by 31.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 31.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 28.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is USC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SJSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
USC
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 31.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 28.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.