Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Sep 4 · 5:30pm CT · Rynearson Stadium · Ypsilanti, MI · ESPN+Final
SJSU
San José State Spartans · Mountain West · 1-1 · Away
FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-112)
-105
EMU
Eastern Michigan Eagles · MAC · 1-1 · Home
FPI -19.3 · rank 132 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-108)
-115

Market vs model

Spread
EMU -1.5
EMU -1.5 (-108)
SJSU +1.5 (-112)
Model
SJSU -3.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SJSU
EMU -115 · SJSU -105
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • EMU rating -19.3, SJSU rating -13.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to EMU.
  • Predicted margin is SJSU by 3.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is SJSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SJSU

FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

EMU

FPI -19.3 · rank 132 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.