Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 5 · 9:00pm CT · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex · Honolulu, HI · CWFinal
UNLV
UNLV Rebels · Mountain West · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.9 · rank 93 · No CFBD row
-2.5 (-105)
-125
HAW
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors · Mountain West · 0-2 · Home
FPI -8.5 · rank 106 · No CFBD row
+2.5 (-115)
+105

Market vs model

Spread
UNLV -2.5
HAW +2.5 (-115)
UNLV -2.5 (-105)
Model
UNLV -0.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
HAW +105 · UNLV -125
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • HAW rating -8.5, UNLV rating -5.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to HAW.
  • Predicted margin is UNLV by 0.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UNLV

FPI -5.9 · rank 93 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

HAW

FPI -8.5 · rank 106 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.