Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 9:00pm CT · University Stadium (NM) · Albuquerque, NM · FS1Final
CMU
Central Michigan Chippewas · MAC · 0-1 · Away
FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row
+11.5 (-115)
+360
UNM
New Mexico Lobos · Mountain West · 1-0 · Home
FPI 4 · rank 57 · No CFBD row
-11.5 (-105)
-470
Market vs model
Spread
UNM -11.5
UNM -11.5 (-105)
CMU +11.5 (-115)
CMU +11.5 (-115)
Model
UNM -22.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNM
UNM -470 · CMU +360
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UNM rating 4, CMU rating -16.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UNM.
- Predicted margin is UNM by 22.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 22.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UNM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CMU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UNM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 22.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.