Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30pm CT · Fargodome · Fargo, ND · MW+ · IndoorFinal
FOR
Fordham Rams · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+41.5 (-115)
—
NDSU
North Dakota State Bison · Mountain West · 2-0 · Home
FPI 0.3 · rank 65 · No CFBD row
-41.5 (-105)
—
Market vs model
Spread
NDSU -41.5
NDSU -41.5 (-105)
FOR +41.5 (-115)
FOR +41.5 (-115)
Model
NDSU -14.7
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NDSU
NDSU — · FOR —
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NDSU rating 0.3, FOR rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NDSU.
- Predicted margin is NDSU by 14.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 14.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is NDSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FOR
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
NDSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 14.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.