Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 8:00pm CT · CEFCU Stadium · San Jose, CA · MW+Final
CP
Cal Poly Mustangs · 2-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+21.5 (-110)
+1100
SJSU
San José State Spartans · Mountain West · 2-1 · Home
FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row
-21.5 (-110)
-2100

Market vs model

Spread
SJSU -21.5
SJSU -21.5 (-110)
CP +21.5 (-110)
Model
SJSU -1.3
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
SJSU -2100 · CP +1100
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • SJSU rating -13.2, CP rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to SJSU.
  • Predicted margin is SJSU by 1.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 1.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CP

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

SJSU

FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 1.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.