Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 3:00pm CT · War Memorial Stadium · Laramie, WY · MW+Final
UNCO
Northern Colorado Bears · 0-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+23.5 (-112)
+1000
WYO
Wyoming Cowboys · Mountain West · 1-1 · Home
FPI -19.7 · rank 133 · No CFBD row
-23.5 (-108)
-1800

Market vs model

Spread
WYO -23.5
WYO -23.5 (-108)
UNCO +23.5 (-112)
Model
UNCO -5.2
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNCO
WYO -1800 · UNCO +1000
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WYO rating -19.7, UNCO rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WYO.
  • Predicted margin is UNCO by 5.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 5.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.7; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is UNCO, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UNCO

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

WYO

FPI -19.7 · rank 133 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 5.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.7; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.