Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 9:30pm CT · Hornet Stadium · Sacramento, CA · ESPNFinal
NDSU
North Dakota State Bison · Mountain West · 4-0 · Away
FPI 0.3 · rank 65 · No CFBD row
-26.5 (-115)
-5000
SAC
Sacramento State Hornets · MAC · 1-3 · Home
FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row
+26.5 (-105)
+1800
Market vs model
Spread
NDSU -26.5
SAC +26.5 (-105)
NDSU -26.5 (-115)
NDSU -26.5 (-115)
Model
NDSU -22.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NDSU
SAC +1800 · NDSU -5000
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- SAC rating -25, NDSU rating 0.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to SAC.
- Predicted margin is NDSU by 22.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 22.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -25.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NDSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NDSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
SAC
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 22.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -25.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.