Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 12:00pm CT · Kelly/Shorts Stadium · Mount Pleasant, MI · ESPN+Final
WYO
Wyoming Cowboys · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -19.7 · rank 133 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-105)
-115
CMU
Central Michigan Chippewas · MAC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-115)
-105

Market vs model

Spread
WYO -1.5
CMU +1.5 (-115)
WYO -1.5 (-105)
Model
CMU -6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CMU
CMU -105 · WYO -115
Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CMU rating -16.2, WYO rating -19.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CMU.
  • Predicted margin is CMU by 6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is CMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WYO

FPI -19.7 · rank 133 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

CMU

FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.