Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 11:00am CT · InfoCision Stadium · Akron, OH · ESPN+11:00am CT
UNLV
UNLV Rebels · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -5.9 · rank 93 · No CFBD row
-13.5 (-112)
-550
AKR
Akron Zips · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -17.9 · rank 130 · No CFBD row
+13.5 (-108)
+410

Market vs model

Spread
UNLV -13.5
AKR +13.5 (-108)
UNLV -13.5 (-112)
Model
UNLV -9.5
Edge 4 pts AKR
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNLV
AKR +410 · UNLV -550
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • AKR rating -17.9, UNLV rating -5.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to AKR.
  • Predicted margin is UNLV by 9.5.
  • Edge is 4 points toward AKR.
  • Edge 4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -12; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UNLV, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UNLV

FPI -5.9 · rank 93 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UNT 44-6 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. W@ HAW 21-6 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Lvs MEM 27-21 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Lvs OHIO 17-10 · Tue, Dec 23
  5. L@ BOIS 38-21 · Fri, Dec 5

AKR

FPI -17.9 · rank 130 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MINN 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs RMU 45-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ WAKE 38-16 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. W@ BGSU 19-16 · Tue, Nov 18
  5. Lvs KENT 42-35 OT · Tue, Nov 11

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.