Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 10:59pm CT · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex · Honolulu, HI · MW+10:59pm CT
SJSU
San José State Spartans · Mountain West · 2-2 · Away
FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row
HAW
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors · Mountain West · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.5 · rank 106 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
HAW
SJSU
Model
HAW -7.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
HAW
HAW · SJSU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • HAW rating -8.5, SJSU rating -13.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to HAW.
  • Predicted margin is HAW by 7.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is HAW, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SJSU

FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs FRES 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs CP 30-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ EMU 27-21 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. L@ USC 42-26 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Lvs FRES 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29

HAW

FPI -8.5 · rank 106 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NMSU 29-19 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Lvs UNLV 21-6 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. L@ STAN 37-27 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Wvs CAL 35-31 · Wed, Dec 24
  5. Wvs WYO 27-7 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.