Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 3:00pm CT · University Stadium (NM) · Albuquerque, NM · MW+3:00pm CT
UTEP
UTEP Miners · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row
UNM
New Mexico Lobos · Mountain West · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4 · rank 57 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UNM
UTEP
Model
UNM -24.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNM
UNM · UTEP
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UNM rating 4, UTEP rating -18.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UNM.
  • Predicted margin is UNM by 24.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 24.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UNM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UTEP

FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MICH 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs TXSO 51-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ OU 51-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. L@ DEL 61-31 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs NMSU 34-31 · Sat, Nov 22

UNM

FPI 4 · rank 57 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ OU 14-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs MERC 70-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs CMU 38-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MINN 20-17 OT · Fri, Dec 26
  5. Wvs SDSU 23-17 2OT · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 24.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.