Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 10 · 6:30pm CT · Huskie Stadium · Dekalb, IL · CBSSN6:30pm CT
AFA
Air Force Falcons · Mountain West · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.9 · rank 94 · No CFBD row
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NIU
Northern Illinois Huskies · Mountain West · 0-3 · Home
FPI -17 · rank 129 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
NIU —
AFA —
AFA —
Model
AFA -8.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
AFA
NIU — · AFA —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NIU rating -17, AFA rating -5.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NIU.
- Predicted margin is AFA by 8.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 8.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is AFA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
AFA
- Lvs NDSU 38-32 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs DUQ 34-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ CSU 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs UNM 20-3 · Sat, Nov 22
- L@ CONN 26-16 · Sat, Nov 15
NIU
- L@ ARIZ 42-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs ILST 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ IOWA 40-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs KENT 35-31 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs WMU 35-19 · Tue, Nov 18
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 8.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.