Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Sun Bowl · El Paso, TX11:00pm CT
NEV
Nevada Wolf Pack · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.5 · rank 105 · No CFBD row
—
—
UTEP
UTEP Miners · Mountain West · 1-2 · Home
FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
UTEP —
NEV —
NEV —
Model
NEV -7.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NEV
UTEP — · NEV —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UTEP rating -18.3, NEV rating -8.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UTEP.
- Predicted margin is NEV by 7.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 7.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NEV, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NEV
- L@ MTSU 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MTST 20-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs WKU 49-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs UNLV 42-17 · Sat, Nov 29
- W@ WYO 13-7 · Sat, Nov 22
UTEP
- L@ MICH 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs TXSO 51-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ OU 51-0 · Fri, Sep 4
- L@ DEL 61-31 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs NMSU 34-31 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 7.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.