Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 17 · 6:00pm CT · Fargodome · Fargo, ND · CBSSN · Indoor6:00pm CT
NEV
Nevada Wolf Pack · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.5 · rank 105 · No CFBD row
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NDSU
North Dakota State Bison · Mountain West · 4-0 · Home
FPI 0.3 · rank 65 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
NDSU —
NEV —
NEV —
Model
NDSU -11.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NDSU
NDSU — · NEV —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NDSU rating 0.3, NEV rating -8.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NDSU.
- Predicted margin is NDSU by 11.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 11.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NDSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NEV
- L@ MTSU 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MTST 20-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs WKU 49-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs UNLV 42-17 · Sat, Nov 29
- W@ WYO 13-7 · Sat, Nov 22
NDSU
- W@ SAC 31-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ AFA 38-32 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FOR 38-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs JXST 33-7 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs ILST 29-28 · Sat, Dec 6
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 11.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.