Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 17 · 8:00pm CT · Sun Bowl · El Paso, TX · MW+8:00pm CT
SJSU
San José State Spartans · Mountain West · 2-2 · Away
FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row
UTEP
UTEP Miners · Mountain West · 1-2 · Home
FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UTEP
SJSU
Model
SJSU -2.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SJSU
UTEP · SJSU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UTEP rating -18.3, SJSU rating -13.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UTEP.
  • Predicted margin is SJSU by 2.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 2.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is SJSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SJSU

FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs FRES 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs CP 30-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ EMU 27-21 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. L@ USC 42-26 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Lvs FRES 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29

UTEP

FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MICH 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs TXSO 51-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ OU 51-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. L@ DEL 61-31 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs NMSU 34-31 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 2.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.