Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Huskie Stadium · Dekalb, IL · MW+11:00pm CT
HAW
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.5 · rank 106 · No CFBD row
NIU
Northern Illinois Huskies · Mountain West · 0-3 · Home
FPI -17 · rank 129 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
NIU
HAW
Model
HAW -6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
HAW
NIU · HAW
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • NIU rating -17, HAW rating -8.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to NIU.
  • Predicted margin is HAW by 6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is HAW, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

HAW

FPI -8.5 · rank 106 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NMSU 29-19 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Lvs UNLV 21-6 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. L@ STAN 37-27 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Wvs CAL 35-31 · Wed, Dec 24
  5. Wvs WYO 27-7 · Sat, Nov 29

NIU

FPI -17 · rank 129 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ ARIZ 42-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs ILST 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ IOWA 40-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs KENT 35-31 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. Lvs WMU 35-19 · Tue, Nov 18

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.