Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 24 · 4:00pm CT · Mackay Stadium · Reno, NV · MW+4:00pm CT
SJSU
San José State Spartans · Mountain West · 2-2 · Away
FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row
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NEV
Nevada Wolf Pack · Mountain West · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.5 · rank 105 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
NEV —
SJSU —
SJSU —
Model
NEV -7.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NEV
NEV — · SJSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NEV rating -8.5, SJSU rating -13.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NEV.
- Predicted margin is NEV by 7.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 7.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NEV, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SJSU
- Lvs FRES 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs CP 30-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- W@ EMU 27-21 · Fri, Sep 4
- L@ USC 42-26 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs FRES 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29
NEV
- L@ MTSU 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MTST 20-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs WKU 49-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs UNLV 42-17 · Sat, Nov 29
- W@ WYO 13-7 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 7.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.