Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Huskie Stadium · Dekalb, IL · MW+11:00pm CT
NEV
Nevada Wolf Pack · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.5 · rank 105 · No CFBD row
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NIU
Northern Illinois Huskies · Mountain West · 0-3 · Home
FPI -17 · rank 129 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
NIU —
NEV —
NEV —
Model
NEV -6.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NEV
NIU — · NEV —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NIU rating -17, NEV rating -8.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NIU.
- Predicted margin is NEV by 6.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 6.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NEV, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NEV
- L@ MTSU 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MTST 20-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs WKU 49-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs UNLV 42-17 · Sat, Nov 29
- W@ WYO 13-7 · Sat, Nov 22
NIU
- L@ ARIZ 42-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs ILST 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ IOWA 40-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs KENT 35-31 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs WMU 35-19 · Tue, Nov 18
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 6.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.