Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 14 · 10:59pm CT · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex · Honolulu, HI · CW10:59pm CT
NDSU
North Dakota State Bison · Mountain West · 4-0 · Away
FPI 0.3 · rank 65 · No CFBD row
—
—
HAW
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors · Mountain West · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.5 · rank 106 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
HAW —
NDSU —
NDSU —
Model
NDSU -6.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NDSU
HAW — · NDSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- HAW rating -8.5, NDSU rating 0.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to HAW.
- Predicted margin is NDSU by 6.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 6.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NDSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NDSU
- W@ SAC 31-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ AFA 38-32 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FOR 38-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs JXST 33-7 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs ILST 29-28 · Sat, Dec 6
HAW
- Wvs NMSU 29-19 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs UNLV 21-6 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ STAN 37-27 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs CAL 35-31 · Wed, Dec 24
- Wvs WYO 27-7 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 6.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.