Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 14 · 6:00pm CT · Falcon Stadium · USAF Academy, CO · CBSSN6:00pm CT
SJSU
San José State Spartans · Mountain West · 2-2 · Away
FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row
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AFA
Air Force Falcons · Mountain West · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.9 · rank 94 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
AFA —
SJSU —
SJSU —
Model
AFA -9.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
AFA
AFA — · SJSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- AFA rating -5.9, SJSU rating -13.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to AFA.
- Predicted margin is AFA by 9.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 9.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is AFA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SJSU
- Lvs FRES 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs CP 30-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- W@ EMU 27-21 · Fri, Sep 4
- L@ USC 42-26 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs FRES 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29
AFA
- Lvs NDSU 38-32 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs DUQ 34-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ CSU 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs UNM 20-3 · Sat, Nov 22
- L@ CONN 26-16 · Sat, Nov 15
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 9.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.