Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 21 · 3:00pm CT · Fargodome · Fargo, ND · CW · Indoor3:00pm CT
NIU
Northern Illinois Huskies · Mountain West · 0-3 · Away
FPI -17 · rank 129 · No CFBD row
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NDSU
North Dakota State Bison · Mountain West · 4-0 · Home
FPI 0.3 · rank 65 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
NDSU —
NIU —
NIU —
Model
NDSU -19.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NDSU
NDSU — · NIU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NDSU rating 0.3, NIU rating -17.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NDSU.
- Predicted margin is NDSU by 19.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 19.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NDSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NIU
- L@ ARIZ 42-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs ILST 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ IOWA 40-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs KENT 35-31 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs WMU 35-19 · Tue, Nov 18
NDSU
- W@ SAC 31-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ AFA 38-32 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FOR 38-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs JXST 33-7 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs ILST 29-28 · Sat, Dec 6
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 19.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.