Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 20 · 7:00pm CT · Falcon Stadium · USAF Academy, CO · CW7:00pm CT
UTEP
UTEP Miners · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -18.3 · rank 131 · No CFBD row
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AFA
Air Force Falcons · Mountain West · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.9 · rank 94 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
AFA —
UTEP —
UTEP —
Model
AFA -14.9
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
AFA
AFA — · UTEP —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- AFA rating -5.9, UTEP rating -18.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to AFA.
- Predicted margin is AFA by 14.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 14.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is AFA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UTEP
- L@ MICH 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs TXSO 51-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ OU 51-0 · Fri, Sep 4
- L@ DEL 61-31 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs NMSU 34-31 · Sat, Nov 22
AFA
- Lvs NDSU 38-32 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs DUQ 34-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ CSU 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs UNM 20-3 · Sat, Nov 22
- L@ CONN 26-16 · Sat, Nov 15
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 14.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.4; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.