Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 28 · 3:30pm CT · University Stadium (NM) · Albuquerque, NM · CW3:30pm CT
AFA
Air Force Falcons · Mountain West · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.9 · rank 94 · No CFBD row
—
—
UNM
New Mexico Lobos · Mountain West · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4 · rank 57 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
UNM —
AFA —
AFA —
Model
UNM -12.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNM
UNM — · AFA —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UNM rating 4, AFA rating -5.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UNM.
- Predicted margin is UNM by 12.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 12.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UNM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
AFA
- Lvs NDSU 38-32 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs DUQ 34-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ CSU 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs UNM 20-3 · Sat, Nov 22
- L@ CONN 26-16 · Sat, Nov 15
UNM
- L@ OU 14-6 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs MERC 70-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs CMU 38-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MINN 20-17 OT · Fri, Dec 26
- Wvs SDSU 23-17 2OT · Fri, Nov 28
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 12.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.