Sat, Nov 28 · 10:00pm CT · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex · Honolulu, HI · MW+10:00pm CT
SAC
Sacramento State Hornets · MAC · 1-3 · Away
FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row
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HAW
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors · Mountain West · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.5 · rank 106 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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HAW — SAC —
Model
HAW -19
Edge — Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
HAW
HAW — · SAC — Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
HAW rating -8.5, SAC rating -25.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to HAW.
Predicted margin is HAW by 19.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model home 19. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16.5; home field +2.5).
Moneyline ticket is HAW, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SAC
FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row
Lvs NDSU 31-10 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ FRES 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs MVSU 52-0 · Sat, Sep 5
L@ EMU 28-17 · Sat, Aug 29
L@ UCD 31-27 · Sat, Nov 22
HAW
FPI -8.5 · rank 106 · No CFBD row
Wvs NMSU 29-19 · Sat, Sep 12
Lvs UNLV 21-6 · Sat, Sep 5
L@ STAN 37-27 · Sat, Aug 29
Wvs CAL 35-31 · Wed, Dec 24
Wvs WYO 27-7 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 19. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16.5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.