Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 28 · 8:00pm CT · Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV · CBSSN · Indoor8:00pm CT
NEV
Nevada Wolf Pack · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.5 · rank 105 · No CFBD row
UNLV
UNLV Rebels · Mountain West · 1-2 · Home
FPI -5.9 · rank 93 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UNLV
NEV
Model
UNLV -5.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNLV
UNLV · NEV
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UNLV rating -5.9, NEV rating -8.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UNLV.
  • Predicted margin is UNLV by 5.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 5.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UNLV, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

NEV

FPI -8.5 · rank 105 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MTSU 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs MTST 20-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WKU 49-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs UNLV 42-17 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. W@ WYO 13-7 · Sat, Nov 22

UNLV

FPI -5.9 · rank 93 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UNT 44-6 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. W@ HAW 21-6 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Lvs MEM 27-21 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Lvs OHIO 17-10 · Tue, Dec 23
  5. L@ BOIS 38-21 · Fri, Dec 5

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 5.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.