Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 2:30pm CT · CEFCU Stadium · San Jose, CA · CBSSN2:30pm CT
NDSU
North Dakota State Bison · Mountain West · 4-0 · Away
FPI 0.3 · rank 65 · No CFBD row
SJSU
San José State Spartans · Mountain West · 2-2 · Home
FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
SJSU
NDSU
Model
NDSU -10.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NDSU
SJSU · NDSU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • SJSU rating -13.2, NDSU rating 0.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to SJSU.
  • Predicted margin is NDSU by 10.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 10.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is NDSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

NDSU

FPI 0.3 · rank 65 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ SAC 31-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ AFA 38-32 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs FOR 38-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs JXST 33-7 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Lvs ILST 29-28 · Sat, Dec 6

SJSU

FPI -13.2 · rank 119 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs FRES 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs CP 30-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ EMU 27-21 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. L@ USC 42-26 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Lvs FRES 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 10.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.