Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 6:30pm CT · Carter-Finley Stadium · Raleigh, NC · ESPNU6:30pm CT
APP
App State Mountaineers · Sun Belt · 3-0 · Away
FPI -5 · rank 87 · No CFBD row
+14 (-110)
+440
NCSU
NC State Wolfpack · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI 2 · rank 61 · No CFBD row
-14 (-110)
-600
Market vs model
Spread
NCSU -14
NCSU -14 (-110)
APP +14 (-110)
APP +14 (-110)
Model
NCSU -9.5
Edge 4.5 pts APP
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NCSU
NCSU -600 · APP +440
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NCSU rating 2, APP rating -5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NCSU.
- Predicted margin is NCSU by 9.5.
- Edge is 4.5 points toward APP.
- Edge 4.5 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NCSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
APP
- Wvs CLT 26-21 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ ECU 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ME 55-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs GASO 29-10 · Mon, Dec 29
- Lvs ARST 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29
NCSU
- L@ VAN 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs RICH 73-0 · Fri, Sep 11
- L@ UVA 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs MEM 31-7 · Fri, Dec 19
- Wvs UNC 42-19 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.