Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 8:30pm CT · Kidd Brewer Stadium · Boone, NC · ESPN+Final
CLT
Charlotte 49ers · American · 0-3 · Away
FPI -15 · rank 126 · No CFBD row
+16.5 (-112)
+650
APP
App State Mountaineers · Sun Belt · 3-0 · Home
FPI -5 · rank 87 · No CFBD row
-16.5 (-108)
-1000
Market vs model
Spread
APP -16.5
APP -16.5 (-108)
CLT +16.5 (-112)
CLT +16.5 (-112)
Model
APP -12.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
APP
APP -1000 · CLT +650
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- APP rating -5, CLT rating -15.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to APP.
- Predicted margin is APP by 12.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 12.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is APP, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CLT
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
APP
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 12.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.