Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:00pm CT · Yulman Stadium · New Orleans, LA · ESPN+Final
USA
South Alabama Jaguars · Sun Belt · 1-1 · Away
FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row
+9.5 (-108)
+285
TULN
Tulane Green Wave · American · 1-1 · Home
FPI -0.2 · rank 68 · No CFBD row
-9.5 (-112)
-360
Market vs model
Spread
TULN -9.5
TULN -9.5 (-112)
USA +9.5 (-108)
USA +9.5 (-108)
Model
TULN -9.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TULN
TULN -360 · USA +285
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TULN rating -0.2, USA rating -7.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TULN.
- Predicted margin is TULN by 9.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 9.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TULN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
TULN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 9.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.