Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 11:45am CT · Kroger Field · Lexington, KY · SEC Network11:45am CT
USA
South Alabama Jaguars · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row
+20.5 (-110)
+850
UK
Kentucky Wildcats · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 8.5 · rank 36 · No CFBD row
-20.5 (-110)
-1450
Market vs model
Spread
UK -20.5
UK -20.5 (-110)
USA +20.5 (-110)
USA +20.5 (-110)
Model
UK -18.3
Edge 2.2 pts USA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UK
UK -1450 · USA +850
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UK rating 8.5, USA rating -7.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UK.
- Predicted margin is UK by 18.3.
- Edge is 2.2 points toward USA.
- Edge 2.2 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 15.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UK, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USA
- Wvs OHIO 41-36 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ TULN 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs SELA 39-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ TXST 49-26 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs USM 42-35 · Sat, Nov 22
UK
- W@ TA&M 31-21 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs ALA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs YSU 45-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ LOU 41-0 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ VAN 45-17 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.